Most Severe El Niño in History Poised to Break Temperature Records
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According to NOAA data, El Niño has a 70% chance of reaching its highest intensity since 1950, with global temperature records expected to be broken in 2026 and 2027.
Historic El Niño Warning
According to the latest data shared by the U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the El Niño weather event is projected to peak with much higher intensity than expected in late autumn and early winter. Based on the agency's analyses, the probability of this natural phenomenon reaching its most severe level in meteorological records dating back to 1950 is calculated at approximately 70%. Current data suggests that this process could surpass the devastating Super El Niño event recorded in the 1982-1983 period.
Global Temperature Record Expectations
As atmospheric changes rapidly intensify, the effects of global warming are combining to increase the frequency of large-scale heatwaves and natural disasters. In projections based on NOAA data, it is considered a certainty that 2027 will break the record for the hottest year in recorded history as a result of this extraordinary intensity. Similarly, the likelihood of 2026 also breaking historical temperature records appears very strong; this increases the pressure on agricultural production and water reserves.