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Corn Prices Decline in Europe Amid Harvest Pressure

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Corn Prices Decline in Europe Amid Harvest Pressure

Accelerating harvests across the European Union and increased grain supply from Ukraine have pushed corn futures prices to their lowest levels in recent weeks. The pullback from peaks on Paris Euronext is deepening, supported by a positive production outlook in South America.

Sharp Price Decline on European Exchanges

Corn prices in the European market have fallen due to accelerating harvests across the European Union and increased grain supply from Ukraine. According to data from the Paris Euronext Exchange, March corn futures contracts had reached a three-year peak of 280 euros per ton three weeks ago. Subsequent selling pressure pushed futures down to 247.75 euros, approximately $279. The general easing of prices for oil, oilseeds, and meal also directly supported this downward trend in the grain market.

Corn Prices Decline in Europe Amid Harvest Pressure

Yield and Production in Ukrainian Harvest

According to data from the Ukrainian Ministry of Agriculture, as of October 30, corn harvesting was completed on 1.715 million hectares. This harvest, representing 37.5% of the planned planting area, yielded an average of 6.28 tons per hectare, with total production reaching 10.776 million tons. Although October exports remained at 262,000 tons, below previous months, total exports of 2.189 million tons in the 2026/27 season surpassed last year's 1.720 million tons.

Corn Prices Decline in Europe Amid Harvest Pressure

Cost Pressure Persists in Border Logistics

Significant logistical bottlenecks are occurring in the Ukrainian domestic market due to handling delays at western borders and waiting times for rail wagons. According to market data, the cost of transporting corn by road to buyers in the European Union has risen to $150-170 per ton, making trade difficult. Farm-gate corn purchase prices remained in the range of 4,000-4,800 hryvnia/ton, while prices at Danube ports were 7,000-7,200 hryvnia/ton, and at western terminals, they were 7,000-7,500 hryvnia/ton. A purchase demand of 6,000 hryvnia/ton for shipments to Black Sea ports has created expectations that the route may reopen.

Increasing Global Competition in the Americas

Favorable weather conditions in South America and a slowdown in US exports are putting downward pressure on prices in the global market. According to market data, corn planting in Argentina has reached 37%, and in Brazil, it has reached 63%, surpassing last season. In the US, with 74% of the harvest completed as of November 1, the country's exports decreased by 13.2% to 10.770 million tons. Contracts on the Chicago Board of Trade fell to $175/ton; Mexico's 31% reduction in purchases from the US was also a decisive factor in this decline.

Data from Sources — Source: USDA, Chicago Board of Trade, Paris Euronext, Market data, Ukrainian Ministry of Agrarian Policy and Food
ValuePeriodMeasure
280 euro/tonneOctober 2026Paris Euronext corn peak price
247.75 euro/tonneNovember 2026Paris Euronext current corn price
1,715,000 hectaresOctober 30, 2026Ukraine harvested corn area
37.5%October 30, 2026Ukraine corn harvesting progress
6.28 tonnes/hectare2026Ukraine average corn yield
10,776,000 tonnesOctober 30, 2026Ukraine total corn production
262,000 tonnesOctober 2026Ukraine October corn exports
2,189,000 tonnes2026/27 marketing yearUkraine total seasonal exports
150-170 $/tonne2026Road transport cost to EU
4,000-4,800 hryvnia/tonneNovember 2026Ukraine farm-gate purchase price
7,000-7,200 hryvnia/tonneNovember 2026Danube river ports corn price
7,000-7,500 hryvnia/tonneNovember 2026Western terminals corn price
6,000 hryvnia/tonneNovember 2026Black Sea ports demand price
37%2026Argentina corn planting progress
63%2026Brazil corn planting progress
74%November 1, 2026US corn harvesting progress
10,770,000 tonnes2026/27 marketing yearUS corn exports
175 $/tonneNovember 2026CBOT corn futures price
31%2026/27Mexico's decline in US purchases

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