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Kazakhstan's Barley Exports to Iran Collapse Due to Logistics

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Kazakhstan's Barley Exports to Iran Collapse Due to Logistics

Kazakhstan's barley exports to Iran plummeted 35-fold due to a more than threefold increase in logistics costs and Russian competition, while Chinese and Central Asian markets saw an upswing.

Severe Logistics Blow in the Iranian Market

Market balances in Kazakhstan's barley exports are radically shifting. According to data from the Kazakhstan Grain Union, the country's barley shipments to Iran decreased 35-fold, falling from 88,000 tons in September of last year to 2,500 tons in the same month this year. Yevgeniy Karabanov, Chairman of the Analysis Committee of the Kazakhstan Grain Union, reported that this sharp decline was due to intense competition from Russian barley. Karabanov also stated that railway transportation costs, and especially freight rates which have more than tripled, have weakened the competitiveness of Kazakh barley in the region.

Kazakhstan's Barley Exports to Iran Collapse Due to Logistics

Shipments to Asian Markets on the Rise

Despite the loss in the Iranian market, significant increases were recorded in shipments to China and Central Asian countries. Kazakhstan's barley exports to China reached 104,700 tons in September, showing a 1.8-fold growth compared to August and a threefold increase compared to September of last year. According to data from the State Revenue Committee of the Republic of Kazakhstan, total barley exports outside the Eurasian Economic Union amounted to 176,600 tons in September; this figure increased by 42.5% compared to August, while it decreased by 2.2% compared to last year. Shipments to Uzbekistan from regional markets increased 1.4-fold from 35,700 tons to 49,900 tons, and to Tajikistan, they rose by 6.7% to 19,000 tons.

Kazakhstan's Barley Exports to Iran Collapse Due to Logistics

Feed Demand Boosts Russian Imports

Another notable development in Kazakhstan's grain trade was the surge in barley imports from Russia. According to Russian sources, barley shipments from Russia to Kazakhstan in September increased 1.86-fold compared to August, reaching 65,000 tons. Yevgeniy Karabanov emphasized that this rise in imports is based on the growth of the country's livestock population and the consequent feed needs. Karabanov stated that with the increase in livestock production and processing capacity, a structural transformation will occur in Kazakhstan's grain trade, with domestic consumption and processing increasing while raw barley exports decline.

Data from Sources — Source: State Revenue Committee of the Republic of Kazakhstan, Grain Union of Kazakhstan, Russian sources
ValuePeriodMeasure
88 thousand tonnesSeptember of last yearBarley shipments to Iran last year in September
2.5 thousand tonnesSeptember of this yearBarley shipments to Iran this year in September
35 timesYear-on-year change in SeptemberDecrease rate in Iran's exports
More than 3 timesSeptember periodIncrease rate in freight rates
104.7 thousand tonnesSeptemberBarley exports to China in September
1.8 timesSeptemberIncrease in exports to China compared to August
3 timesSeptemberIncrease in exports to China compared to last year's September
176.6 thousand tonnesSeptemberTotal barley exports excluding AEB
42.5%August-September comparisonIncrease in total barley exports compared to August
2.2%Year-on-year September comparisonDecrease in total barley exports compared to last year
35.7 thousand tonnesSame period last yearShipments to Uzbekistan last year
49.9 thousand tonnesSame period this yearBarley exports to Uzbekistan
1.4 timesYearlyIncrease rate in Uzbekistan exports
6.7%YearlyIncrease rate in exports to Tajikistan
19 thousand tonnesSeptemberExports to Tajikistan in September
65 thousand tonnesSeptemberBarley imports from Russia
1.86 timesAugust-September comparisonIncrease in imports from Russia compared to August

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